Strategies For Addressing The Spillover Effect Of Mosaic Warfare In The South China Sea Conflict To Achieve National Security Stability

Muhamad Bashori Alwi; Chairi Suhanda; Dany Setiawan; Muchamad Ricky; Rusdyanto Hadawang

doi:10.70710/sitj.v1i1.6

Authors

Muhamad Bashori Alwi Strategic School
Chairi Suhanda Strategic School
Dany Setiawan Strategic School
Muchamad Ricky Strategic School
Rusdyanto Hadawang Strategic School

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.70710/sitj.v1i1.6

Keywords:

Indonesia, International Relations, Mosaic Warfare, National Security, South China Sea, Spilover Effect

Abstract

The South China Sea is a strategic area rich in natural resources and a crucial international shipping and trade route, making it a focal point of territorial disputes between China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan. This conflict escalates tensions and the potential spillover effects of mosaic warfare that can impact Indonesia's national security and stability. This journal analyzes the strategic implications of the South China Sea conflict for Indonesia, exploring defensive and proactive strategies to mitigate risks and enhance national resilience. This research uses a qualitative descriptive approach based on historical analysis and content analysis, successfully identifying key areas of concern such as increased maritime security risks, the need for enhanced military capabilities, and the importance of regional and international cooperation. Proposed strategies include increased diplomatic engagement, strengthening defense capabilities, intelligence and security technology cooperation, and diversifying economic and trade routes. Indonesia must adopt a multifaceted and proactive strategy to protect its interests amidst regional instability, strengthen diplomatic relations within ASEAN and globally, enhance military and surveillance capabilities, and ensure economic resilience against potential disruptions in maritime trade routes. Public education and adherence to international law are also crucial for maintaining regional peace and security.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Altunbaş, Y., & Thornton, J. (2012). Spillover Effects Among Financial Institutions: A State-Dependent Sensitivity Value-at-Risk Approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(12), 3145-3158

Antara. (2020). Chinese ship approaches Malaysia to confuse the South China Sea conflict. Antara. https://www.antaranews.com/berita/1424885/kapal-china-dekati-malaysia-perkeruh-konflik-laut-china-selatan

Bateman, S., & Emmers, R. (2008). Security and International Politics in the South China Sea (S. Bateman & R. Emmers (eds.); 1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203885246

Deudney, D. (2000). Geopolitics as Theory:: Historical Security Materialism. Sage Journal, 6(1), 77–107. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/1354066100006001004

Encyclopaedia, T. E. of. (2024). Balance of Power. Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/topic/balance-of-power

Gindarsah, I., & Priamarizki, A. (2015). Indonesia’s Maritime Doctrine And Security Concerns. S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies INDONESIA’S, April 2015, 0–15. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep05869

Green, M., Hicks, K., Cooper, Z., Schaus, J., & Douglas, J. (2017). Counter-Coercion Series: China-Vietnam Oil Rig Standoff. Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative. https://amti.csis.org/counter-co-oil-rig-standoff/

Grossman, D. (2016). Giving Intelligence Analysts Their Voices Back: The Case for Analyst Perspectives. RAND. https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2016/10/giving-intelligence-analysts-their-voices-back-the-case.html

Jensen, B., & Paschkewitz, J. (2019). Mosaic Warfare: Small and Scalable are Beautiful. Warontherocks.Com. https://warontherocks.com/2019/12/mosaic-warfare-small-and-scalable-are-beautiful/

Lovett, J. (2002). The Law of the Sea. Environment and Development Economics, 7(1), 191–196. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X02230120

Marsetio, Octavian, A., . R., Gibson, J. D. E., Gunawan, K., & Ritonga, R. (2017). The South China Sea Dispute and Regional Maritime Security: Indonesia’s Perspective. International Journal of U- and e- Service, Science and Technology, 10(8), 111–122. https://doi.org/10.14257/ijunesst.2017.10.8.11

Mongilio, H. (2023). China Protests US South China Sea Freedom of Navigation Operations. News Usni. https://news.usni.org/2023/03/24/china-protests-us-south-china-sea-freedom-of-navigation-operation

News, D. (2016). This is the Complete Decision of the Arbitration Court regarding the South China Sea. Detik News. https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-3251971/ini-angkatan-komplet-mahkamah-arbitrase-soal-laut-china- south

News, D. (2024). Hit by Chinese Ship, Philippine Coast Guard Ship Damaged. Detik News. https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-7225934/ditabrak-kapal-china-kapal-penjaga-pantai-filipina-besar

Nye, J. S., & Jr. (2008). Public Diplomacy and Soft Power. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 616(pp. 94-109), 16. https://www.jstor.org/stable/25097996

Panda, A. (2017). How Much Trade Transits the South China Sea? Not $5.3 Trillion a Year. The Diplomat. https://thediplomat.com/2017/08/how-much-trade-transits-the-south-china-sea-not-5-3-trillion-a-year/

Thayer, C. (2013). USS Cowpens Incident Reveals Strategic Mistrust Between U.S. and China. Thediplomat.

Thuy, T. T. (2013). China, ASEAN, US in the South China Sea: Rebalancing the Triangle. SSRN, 4(4), 1–18. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2233309

Thuy, T. T., & Le, T. T. (2015). Power, Law, and Maritime Order in the South China Sea. https://rowman.com/ISBN/9781498512787/Power-Law-and-Maritime-Order-in-the-South-China-Sea

VoA. (2020). North Natuna Case Needs Diplomacy and Increased Defense. Voaindonesia. https://www.voaindonesia.com/a/kas-natuna-utara-butuh-diplomasi-dan-peningkatan-perlahan/5243070.html